Saturday, August 4, 2012

Intelligent Design makes stock market predictions

The theory behind Intelligent Design is precisely defined enough for a conference to demarcate Intelligent Design:

http://appliedintelligentdesign.blogspot.com/2012/07/ideal-intelligent-design-conference.html

As such, Intelligent Design also makes predictions that apply to the stock market.  Consequently, for an individual motivated to do the research, as I will at some point here, it is possible for ID to put money behind its claims.

For example, Dr. Sternberg and Dr. Wells have shown that the genome only contains a very small amount of the information that creates biological organisms:

http://www.richardsternberg.com/biography.php

Consequently, companies predicated on being able to understand and modify any area of human physiology through sequencing the genome will not do well.  Of course, companies that focus on only very specific areas of human physiology can bring value to the market and make a profit.  But, to use a programming analogy, the only aspect of human physiology these companies will be able to manipulate are those that vary like function parameters, such as eye color, hair color, physical attributes that can increase or decrease within a range, etc.  Wholesale restructuring of the body is out of the question.


Another prediction is any company predicated on strong artificial intelligence will ultimately fail, as long as it remains true to its principles.  Jonathan Bartlett demonstrates why artificial intelligence is incompatible with Intelligent Design theory here:

http://www.blythinstitute.org/site/sections/37

Such companies will be successful with narrow scope applications of weak AI, similar to the genome sequencing companies.  But wholesale replication of human intelligence is also out of the question.  So, for example, the Intelligence Singularity theory of Ray Kurzweil will turn out to be bunk, insofar as the theory is necessarily contingent upon strong AI.

http://www.kurzweilai.net


A positive prediction of Intelligent Design is that a companies predicated on using information technology to better capitalize on the unique attributes of human intelligence will be very successful.  Google search is one good example.  Foldit is another good example.

http://news.cnet.com/8301-27083_3-20108365-247/foldit-game-leads-to-aids-research-breakthrough/


What other implications of ID can be tested on the stock market?

As in the case of the Ideal Intelligent Design Conference, these implications must be unambiguously tied to ID, and only ID.

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